Month: April 2008

Bill Maher Gets It

When he says:

And finally, new rule: If voting can destroy the Democratic Party, then the party isn’t very democratic. Democrats need to stop freaking out about how this long primary battle between two popular candidates needs to be “settled yesterday! Because the candidates are bloodying each other! They’re causing irreparable harm! Mommy and Daddy are fighting!” Hey you people need to reach into your teenager’s knapsack and pull out a Paxil or Prozac and chill out.

Link to video

Ashcroft Did Not Sign off on Yoo “No 4th Amendment” Memo

This is an very interesting development. It appears to me that this renders the legal authority of Yoo memorandum to a level akin to graffiti on a bathroom wall:

Neither the attorney general at the time, John D. Ashcroft, nor his deputy, Larry D. Thompson, were aware of the 81-page memo when it was written and sent to the Pentagon in March 2003, according to several former senior department officials. The Pentagon was told in December 2003 to disregard the legal advice in the memo after Justice Department lawyers raised objections.

The sequence of events is now that someone demanded this memo, got a copy, and sent it out for implementation without any sort of legal review. This memo said that “military operations combating terrorism inside the United States are not limited by Fourth Amendment protections against unreasonable searches and seizures”.

For anyone who wishes to assert that DoJ opinions indemnify law breakers (Mukasey), it becomes increasingly clear that the political appointees of the DoJ created a clown show, and that John Ashcroft was one of those showing the greatest integrity.*

*He doesn’t have much, he just had the most integrity. Still, that is something I never expected to write.

Apparent Hung Jury in Wecht Political Show Trial

This is good news for the defense.

To refresh your memory, this trial is about “celebrity pathologist Cyrl Wecht” allegedly using public resources of his medical examiner’s office for his private practice, and 24 of the counts are over $3.06.

Basically, it appears that he may have used a publicly paid secretary to run his business and make some faxes, and the US Attorney in Pittsburgh literally made a federal case out of this.

Note that he is a prominent Democrat, and that Republican Dick Thornburg, former Attorney General has called it a political witch hunt.

Iraq Over the Weekend, and a Conclusion

Not really updated this for the past few days, as my wife’s birthday has taken precedence.

First, we have Maliki threating an escalation against the Mahdi Army (see here and here), and then we have reports that he’s seeking to ease tensions with the Mahdi Army, and that he has
suspended raids against them.

So it appears that there are some mixed signals out there.

It doesn’t help that the performance of the state security forces was atrocious, with More well over 1000 deserting or refusing to fight.

Abu Aardvark, who has an advantage over most bloggers, and for that matters most US journalists, in that he can read Arabic, the fact that Maliki’s response to all of this has been to recruit over 10,000 members of the Badr Brigades (you know, the ones who are in the pay of the Iranian Republican guard) and the Dawa militias, after insisting that there were no resources available to hire more forces after insisting that there were no positions available to Sunni security forces.

Nothing Maliki does is about anything but short term personal political advantage, which should come as no surprise.

In related news Muqtada al-Sadr is offering to help purge the security forces of militia elements, which I assume means elements of the Badr Brigades and the Dawa militia, and we are seeing an uptick of violence in Sadr City.

If this is not surreal enough for you, the State Department just renewed the contract for Blackwater security with out any changes to the terms, so they still have a license to kill with impunity.

Needless to say, being really pissed off by this, because there is one thing that all the various factions in Iraq can agree with, they want the unaccountable, incompetent, and violent mercenary forces out of their country.

Given the timing of the Basra raid, I have come to the conclusion that this was instigated by Bush and His Evil Minions, particularly Dick Cheney, who visited just before this all blew up, at least in generalities, if not specifics.

I think that they wanted a dramatic sign of progress prior to the Petraeus testimony

Internet Law: Fair Housing Council v. Roommates.com

The background here is fairly simple. The Communications Decency Act (CDA)grants a safe harbor for online providers of an “interactive computer service” from things that others might post.

So, for example, if someone other than me posted in the comments that Frau Blücher of deliberately scaring horses, I could not be held responsible in a libel suit.

What happened here is that Roomates.com is a roomate get together service, and when one logs in, you are asked about things like race, sex, sexual preference, religion, whether one has children, etc.

The problem here is that advertising using these categories an unambiguously clear violation of the fair housing act, and they were sued by the fair housing councils of San Diego and the San Fernando Valley.

Roomates.com claimed that they were immune under the CDA because the users of the service, and not Roomates.com entered the data, but the 9th circuit court of appeals called bullsh$#.

They said that Roomates.com required in order to participate, and as such, it was generating the illegal content itself.

I agree wholeheartedly with Eugene Volokh, who says that they made the right call. They were deliberately creating discriminatory ads, and deliberately facilitating these ads, as opposed to the hand wringing of publius of Obsidian Wings and Susan Crawford.

The analogy here is the difference between a bookstore carrying a publication that infringes on the Fair Housing Act, and the publication that actually carries those illegal ads.

The internet should not be a magic wand to excuse illegal behavior. Publius argues

….. that litigation if often done in bad faith. As any real litigator will tell you, the point of litigation isn’t necessarily to vindicate a right, but to harass an opponent with discovery, document productions, and other expensive tactics. So long as a claim is plausible, you can inflict real damage (and maybe get a favorable settlement) even if you think you will ultimately lose.

Every bookstore operator operates the same way. The books you host do not open you up to law suits, but the store newsletter does.

The internet is not a license to break the law, and we have case law distinguishing between hosted content and user generated content, and this was clearly the latter. Roomates.com is guilty as hell.

Mark Penn is a Complete Asshole

It appears that while Hillary Clinton was condemning the Columbia free trade pact, mark pen, in his capacity as CEO of Burson-Marsteller Worldwide, was having meetings with representatives of the Columbian government in order to lobby for the agreement.

Penn subsequently apologized for this, but the Change to Win union alliance is now demanding that Penn be fired by the Clinton campaign:

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Friday, April 4, 2008

CONTACT: Greg Denier
Noreen Nielsen
(202) 721-0660

WASHINGTON, DC – The following is a statement from Change to Win executive director Greg Tarpinian concerning the latest revelation that Hillary Clinton’s chief campaign strategist Mark Penn met Monday with Colombia’s ambassador regarding the Colombia Free Trade Agreement.

“It’s time for Senator Hillary Clinton to send her vaunted ‘chief strategist’ Mark Penn packing — back to his job consulting for union busting corporations and anti-labor governments for good.

“We have questioned Penn’s role in the Clinton campaign in the past for his representation of union busting employers like Cintas. At that time, Penn said there was a wall between him and his firm’s representation of union busters. The latest revelation that Penn — whose firm represents the Colombian government in its effort to secure passage of a so-called free trade agreement — is actively involved in securing its passage in the middle of Senator Clinton’s presidential campaign is outrageous. It also suggests that he has been playing a double role – advising the Senator on what to say to curry Democratic voters and advising the Colombian government on what to say to curry a majority of votes in Congress.

“The vast majority of Americans do not believe that we should be granting preferential trade status to a government that coddles death squads that target union organizers. Colombia remains the most dangerous country in the world for union members, where more than 2,200 workers have been murdered since the 1980s by Colombian death squads for trying to form unions while the government has done nothing to effectively stop the murders. It is time for Penn to go.”

A postscript to all this is that Columbia has now fired Burson-Marsteller Worldwide, saying that, “The Colombian government considers this a lack of respect to Colombians, and finds this response unacceptable.”

Bummer of a birth mark, Hal.

Damn Good Writing, Gen. JC Christian, Patriot, Edition

The good general wrote to the Dean of the UC Berkely law school, regarding their hiring of war criminal John Yoo.

I wish I could write so well. The phrase, “Mengele Professor of Sado-Political Studies” is prize.

A shining interrogation center upon a hill

Christopher Edley, Jr
Professor of Law and Dean
School of Law
University of California, Berkeley

Dear Dr. Edley,

I’m very impressed by your decision to hire former Justice Department official John Yoo to serve on your faculty. It was a very shrewd marketing move on your part. It allows Berkeley to finally get past its sordid history as the battleground for the expansion of our civil liberties and become the foremost advocate for that “shining interrogation center upon a hill” so many of us wish our nation to become.

…..

Go read the rest.

What the Hell Happened to Childhood?

Some recent news on how we raise our children. First is a news story about a mother who let her 9 year old son ride alone on the subway. There is nothing wrong with the story, except for the fact that it qualifies as news. Kids have been taking mass transit on their own at that age for years, but in this plan-every-minute soccer mom stamp-out-independent-thought culture we have, it gets a significant amount of media play.

We are raising kids who will never have the smallest adventure, nor the smallest sense of responsibility.

Kudos New York Sun Columnist* and mom, Lenore Skenazy for not buying into the toxic waste paranoia of the phony missing child hysteria of the mid-1980s.

On the darker side, we have a six year old kid who is labeled a sexual harasser for smacking a girl on the butt.

The police were called, and his school record now lists him as a sexual harasser.

This is insane. Did the kid do something wrong, of course he did, and his parents should have been called in, and he should have gotten a few days detention, but it’s not sexual harassment.

We was 6 years old, not 13.

Then we have an 8 year old child suspended because he is alleged to have sniffed line from a marker on his shirt. School administrators are suggesting that he was “trying to get high”, aka “huffing”.

There are two problems with all of this, the first is that we are allowing people who are clearly psychopaths abuse their authority, and the second is that increasingly, there are policies in place to support these psychopaths.

Osama bin Laden does not have to destroy America, we are doing it through what we do to the next generation.

*When I say the phrase “Kudos to NY Sun Columnist”, something is very, very, wrong with reality.

No, This Is Not The Onion

You just have to love this.

The Badr Brigades are militia of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq (ISCI, the artist formerly known as SCIRI).

In addition ISCI and Maliki are doing their level best to ensure that they occupy as many positions in the security services, police and military, as possible.

During the Iran-Iraq war, the Badr Brigades fought for the Iranians. They were a part of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, which the State Department has declared a terrorist organization.

As a result, these folks are literally collecting a pension from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard.

So, the dog that we choose to hunt with in Iraq is literally pulling a pension from the Ayatollahs.

Economics Update

Well, it looks like 80,000 jobs were lost in March, and the unemployment rate went up to 5.1%, see here, here, and here.

There was good news, at least by the standards of the hacktacular financual press, the ISM’s report on non-manufacturing businesses rose, from 49.3 to 49.6, when it was expected to be 48.5.

Note that while the headline on the story speaks of a rebound, it’s not. Any number under 50 is a contraction, so the contraction was slower than expected, but it was still a contraction.

Given these numbers it’s no surprise that the Federal Reserve is signaling more rate cuts.

It won’t work. We need to go Nordic on this problem and nationalize the insolvent institutions, for a time at least.

Give all this information, it should come as no surprise that we are getting reports of skyrocketing vacancies in commercial space, the stuff that all the “experts” said was not going to be a problem.

This is typical. Commercial space lags residential space.

It won’t help that Oil is back above $105/bbl.

It also looks like Delphi auto parts may be going under, Appaloosa Management LP is pulling out of a deal to invest 2.55 billion in the manufacturer.

This will leave GM on the hook for a lot, and they may have no parts for their cars.

O’Malley Pushing Law Change for Special Election

Now that Wynn has given his resignation, there is a consensus developing in Annapolis that it would be a good thing for Donna Edwards to get in on an early election, if just to give her a seniority jump on the other freshman congressmen.

O’Malley is proposing a change in the election law to allow for a special election based on the current primary results, which would cut the cost of special elections in half, more so if you hold it at the same time as the general election.

Generally it sounds good to me, though I’m inclined to go with the special election and swearing in at the same time as the general, as it is even cheaper.

Press Beginning to Notice that Inflation Numbers are Complete Bollocks.

Elizabeth Spiers at Fortune magazine notes that increasingly, it seems that consumer price index numbers have no bearing in reality.

It’s true.

Here is a graph from John Williams’ Shadow Government Statistics

If he is only half right, it means that total price change over the past two decades is understated by something near 50%.

When one tries to get a grip on the cost of living, there will always be a subjective element. When, for example, did the cost of ice delivery get dropped from the CPI. The ice man was a big deal in 1922, after all.

That being said, there has been a consistent assault on accurate CPI numbers from pretty much everyone in government for the past 30+ years.

It makes things easier. Artificially ow CPI numbers mask declining living standards and make inflation adjusted benefits cheaper, allowing for lower taxes.

The question is then how is this done.

The first way is through what is called “hedonics”. Basically, it adjusts the prices of commodities because their quality has improved. Check out The Illusions of Hedonics from the Mises Institute for a good critique.

Let’s apply hedonics to a car, for example. It’s clear that a new car today is far safer and more fuel efficient (per weight of car) than a car of a few years ago, so why should we not make an adjustment for that?

The first answer is that we can measure this more accurately in other ways. Safer cars mean less health care spending*, and better fuel economy means less spending on gas. Thus, the market basket would change.

The car delivers the same service as it did 20 years ago, just as my computer, despite being millions of times more powerful than it was 20 years ago delivers the same service, word processing, spread sheets, etc.

The second way of fudging the numbers is by messing with what goes into the “basket” which is used to figure CPI.

Why, for example, is a 3 fold increase in the price of housing in the past decade or so not inflationary, but instead “asset appreciation”. Housing is a necessity. It should be an integral part of any look at inflation, but instead, the rising house prices are waved away with some fairy dust, and all is well.

Look at the picture above, and if Mr. Williams is right, and I believe that if anything he is conservative on this, it means that there is about a 2½% spread between official and real inflation.

That means that true cost of living doubles an extra time roughly every 20 years. Which means that right now, the cost of living is nearly twice what the government is reporting, because it ignores skyrocketing healthcare, education, and housing costs, along with using bogus tweaks to create a bogus number.

No wonder the people of the United States are in debt up to their eyeballs.

*I would note however, from a purely economic perspective, replacing airbags with double ought buckshot shells would net an even higher reduction in health care costs, since dead people need no health care.
And this argument is why people who see classical economics as the tool for all societal problems are full of it. Economics is a tool, not the tool for dealing with the world.

Tanker Update

In congressional testimony before the House Armed Services, Sue Payton, Air Force under secretary for acquisition, was asked if asked if additional credit was given in the process for exceeding the contract minimums. Her response was that the minimums were just that, minimums.

If you did not meet the minimums, your bid would not be accepted, but that, “It was also very clear that extra credit would be given to the offeror who exceeded that threshold”.

Much of the crux of Boeing’s complaint is that this is irregular. It is not. I have read hundreds of requirements for military programs, and the overwhelmingly majority of them have a “threshold” (minimum), and an “objective” (good to have).

This has been a part of the procurement process for years, and to the degree that Boeing is using it for a challenge, this is completely bogus.

F22 Showing Itself to be a Maintenance Pig

As Bill Sweetman Notes, the F-22 is not even close to achieving its desired maintenance goals:

  • The mean time between maintenance intervals is less than one hour.
  • That number is half what it should have been at the end of system development and demonstration, in December 2005.
  • It’s one-third of the “mature” goal, which is supposed to be achieved in 100,000 operational flying hours, in 2010.
  • It hasn’t improved in the past year.

This is not academic. Last year, there was a class-A mishap when an F-22 sucked in a piece of RAM and trashed an engine.

The wild blue yonder boys seem determined to innovate themselves out of any meaningful military capability.