Month: June 2008

Quis Custodiet Ipsos Custodes?*

Stanford University’s law and business schools just completed a review of the various corporate governance rating firms, “which include the Corporate Library and RiskMetrics Group’s ISS Governance Services”, and conclude that their ratings on corporate governance have little to do with whether a company is actually well run.

This is not surprising. When we look at the credit rating firms such as S&P, Moody’s, etc. we see a very similar pattern.

A private ratings agency is always at risk from conflicts of interest.

*Most commonly translated from the Latin as “Who Watches the Watchmen”.

Unbelievably F&%$ing Bad Ideas: London Stock Exchange Edition

So it appears the bright young (but evil) men from Lehman have been talking to the bright young (but evil) men from the London Stock Exchange, and they will be working together to make our world a worse place:

London Stock Exchange Group said Thursday that it would create a pan-European trading system in partnership with Lehman Brothers, as the exchange sought to regain its leading role in the region.

The deal creates a system for so-called dark liquidity pool trading. The exchange, known as the LSE, said the trading facility, to be named Baikal, would be open to other investors and was expected to begin operating in the first quarter of 2009. Lehman, based in New York, operates its own dark pool network. It is bringing sophisticated trading technology and an established customer base to the table.

……..

Dark liquidity pools are off-market trading networks where large orders can be executed anonymously, without divulging prices to public exchanges. Off-market trading has always existed in the form of over-the-counter transactions, but the technology now exists to bring investors together electronically in anonymity. Dark liquidity in European equities is growing rapidly, according to the LSE, and currently accounts for around €12 billion, or nearly $19 billion, in daily trading value.

…….

…..

David Shrimpton, head of equity market development at the London Stock Exchange, said that the LSE was hoping to bring other investors aboard as partners, and the response to the announcement had been “very positive.”

He said it might be possible for a quite a few trading systems to co-exist. “You’ve got 50 broker dark pools in the U.S.,” he added, “and they share about 10 percent of the market.”

…..

Yep. There’s a recommendation. Let’s get into a new anonymous and unregulated type of exchange pioneered by the Americans, whose toxic financial products currently threaten to poison the world financial systems.

Evil, unregulated, dangerous, and will likely be disasterous.

DFA Meeting Tonite

Democracy for Baltimore on 7/26/08:
Meeting starts at 7:30pm, but some of us, me at least, will be there by 7:00pm, for a half hour of grabbing a bite to eat and talking.

I will be wearing a “Dean for America” T-shirt, so I should be easy to spot.

We will meet at the Cosi Cafe, 9177 Reisterstown Road, Owings Mills, MD 21117, Phone: 410-654-9182

Directions are as follows: Located in the Valley Village Plaza Strip Mall, On the Corner of Reisterstown and McDonough (to the west) and Craddock (to the east) Roads, diagonally across from the McDonough Road Professional Center.

Wi-Fi is Available.
Closing Time: 9:00 pm.

Barack AWOL Obama on FISA

Just so you know, what is likely the real FISA cloture vote passed 80 to 15.

Voting against Cloture

Biden (D-DE)
Boxer (D-CA)
Brown (D-OH)
Cantwell (D-WA)
Dodd (D-CT)
Durbin (D-IL)
Feingold (D-WI)
Harkin (D-IA)
Kerry (D-MA)
Lautenberg (D-NJ)
Leahy (D-VT)
Menendez (D-NJ)
Sanders (I-VT)
Schumer (D-NY)
Wyden (D-OR)

Not Voting:

Byrd (D-WV)
Clinton (D-NY)
Kennedy (D-MA)
McCain (R-AZ)
Obama (D-IL)

He couldn’t even be bothered to show up.

McCain never shows up to vote. Byrd is sick. Kennedy has a brain tumor. Hillary Clinton is…well a Clinton.

What is your excuse, Mr. Obama?

Very Wise:

Jim Henley of Unqualified Offerings notes the following about the surge:

The pretended meaning is, The US increased troop strength in Iraq for a period of time beginning in 2007. The actual meaning is, the US increased troop strength WHILE ramping up a program to pay off Sunni resistance leaders WHILE Iraq’s warring ethno-religious factions finished completely remaking Iraq’s demographic patterns, owing to tens-to-hundreds of thousands of dead and millions of exiled and internally displaced, WHILE the US turned the capital into a warren of barricades. The net result of all those changes has been a less obtrusively violent Iraq for the time being, and the whole arrangement is ‘The Surge’ in practice, but the cheerleaders talk as if it was all due to The Surge in pretense. Meanwhile Iraq’s ‘calm’ would count as calamity almost anywhere on earth but Darfur or Zimbabwe.

Very well said, young man.

Economics Update

Weekly Jobless claims hold steady at 384,000, though the less volatile 4 week moving average went up a bit, 2,250 to 378,250.

In energy, we have oil hitting a new record. It has broken $140/bbl.

Retail gasoline is flat today.

Existing home sales are up for 2nd time in 10 months, though I think that a lot of that may be short sales and REOs.

We have the latest figures for Q1 GDP, and they show that GDP increased at a 1% annual rate. Note that core inflation was 2.3%, and 1% minus 2.3% does not give one a positive number.

It’s more spending on food and fuel, not real growth.

All this news has the dollar down a bit, and I’m sure that European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet strongly implying more rate hikes did hastened the decline.

Zimbabwe:

We are getting some decent news now, specifically that MDC Secretary Tendai Biti was released on bail pending his treason charge, and Mugabe is suggesting negotiations following the runoff election.

Honestly, I don’t see Mugabe backing down until he is dead or in custody though, particularly since he is insisting that the election, which he has turned into a bloody farce, should be held on schedule.

I’m not sure why Morgan Tsvangirai is walking away from his earlier call for armed peace keepers, but he is juxtaposing this with a 24-hour deadline to enter into good faith negotiations with him.

I think that Tsvangirai may be playing to Mugabe’s allies in the ZANU-PF, with comments to the effect that Mugabe is “self-destructing”.

The implication here is that if he does, then the rest of the ruling structure is at risk too.

It also appears that South Africa’s ANC has finally be forced into doing the right thing, as they are finally condemning what is going on there.

My guess is that Nelson Mandela’s calling the events in Zimbabwe a, “Tragic Failure of leadership”, left them no other choice.

Another Banking Disaster Looming on the Horizon

It turns out that a lot of banks, particularly smaller ones, look likely to get hammered by construction loans that allow developers to delay making payments.

They are called interest reserve loans, and they may be one of the next bubbles to pop:

In essence, the banks pay themselves until the loan becomes due or the property generates cash flow.”

That’s a scary quote, and what it means is that a loan can continue to be reported as a “performing” loan, even though payments are not being made and the underlying property is not selling.

Sounds awfully familiar. A financial instrument predicated on the idea that property prices always go up, and never go down.

The good news is that the small banks seem to be a bit more proactive in recognizing and addressing the problem:

More banks are starting to change how they use interest reserves. Integrity Bank has stopped using interest reserves on loans used only for purchasing land without immediate plans for construction and loans on projects that have been delayed or abandoned. David Edwards, who joined Integrity in December as chief credit officer as part of a management shake-up at the bank late last year, said: “There is nothing wrong with the use of interest reserves. It depends on whether the borrower has hard cash [put up front], and whether the project is active or not.”

Towne Bank, of Mesa, Ariz., has eliminated funding interest reserves. “Realistically, you never know whether a borrower can keep the loan current if you are the one who’s making the payment,” Patrick Patrick, who became chief executive of the bank in February.

HomeTown Bank, also ordered to change interest-reserves practices early this year, now is part of SunTrust Banks Inc., of Atlanta. A spokesman declined to comment.

An Interesting Sidebar to the Israeli Bombing in Syria

First, Israel is alleging that Syria had a deal with Iran to send some of the spent fuel back to them for Plutonium processing, and second, the raid may have been what led to the current talks.

First, it appears that the fact that Bashir Assad remained in power following the bombing gave the Israelis confidence that he was actually in control, and second, it appears that the bombing reminded the Syrians that the “gang that can’t shoot straight” show that occurred in the Lebanon war is the exception, not the rule.

Together, both articles paint an interesting picture.

So, Where is Reid on Telco Immunity?

Like many things with Harry Reid, it’s kind of confusing. He is a wheels within wheels kind of guy.

Reid is co-sponsoring cosponsoring the amendment to strip telco immunity, but as this is sure to be filibustered, it not going to happen.

He also says that he’s going to vote against the whole bill.

So at least nominally, Reid is on the side of Dodd, Feingold, Wyden and Boxer.

I think that all this is far less noble than one might imagine. I agree with Emptywheel’s analysis, that his objections are less about the merits of the bill than they are about holding back any approval until the Housing Bill and Iraq Supplemental, which has, “Webb’s GI bill and an extension to unemployment benefits” have passed and have been signed into law.