Year: 2008

KB Toys Files Chapter 11 (+2)

This is the third time since 2004, they, as both KB and FAO Schwartz, did a twofer in 2004.

Filing for bankruptcy as a tow store less than 3 weeks before Christmas?

Looks like liquidation this time.

Here is the obligatory scare quote:

Sales were little changed from Feb. 3 until Oct. 4, KB Toys said. Since then, sales have dropped almost 20 percent, the company said.

Sales fell as the Xmas season buying frenzy ramped up….Not good.

This is Going to Get Ugly

Well, it appears that the Republicans have successfully filibustered the auto bailout, with the aid of Max Baucus (DINO-MT), though to be fair to Baucus, his objection was to a particularly egregious tax loophole, the SILO (Sale-In Lease-Out), which basically allowed municipal transit agencies to sell their rolling stock, and lease it back, so that companies could get undeserved tax breaks for a cash payments to said agencies.

As to the Republicans, it comes down to two things, they have transplants in their states, and they want to break the UAW.

I expect to see the Big e (Big 2½) and the transplants to start having problems with their suppliers withing a week, because if I were supplying parts to an automaker right now, I’d be demanding cash on delivery, not 90 or 120 days net.

This will get ugly, and if Harry Reid had any balls, he would make the Republicans actually stand up and talk, and not just throw up his hands when he loses the vote.

Chuck Colson

So, George W. Bush just gave the Presidential Citizens Medal to Charles W. “Chuck” Colson.

Charles Colson, notwithstanding his “finding God” in the stir, is a nasty piece of work, and arguably the single person most responsible for bringing down Richard Nixon.

When Nixon vented about shooting someone, Colson would buy a gun, and it was largely covering up for Colsons excesses that got the scandals flowing.

Of all the rat-f&^%ers in the Nixon administration (their term) he was the worst, and now as head of the Prison Fellowship, he has repeatedly engaged in efforts to use the prison system to force conversion of inmates.

I don’t mean outreach, I mean the creation of special programs with special privileges to coerce prisoners into being “born again.”

I hope that Gary Sinise, who also got the award, felt embarrassed to share a stage with Colson, but since he’s a wingnut too, I would think any feeling of discomfort or shame unlikely.

Joseph E. Stiglitz on Free Market Evangelicals

Read his article, and you will understand that this is not a failure of regulation or legislation, but one of world view:

The truth is most of the individual mistakes boil down to just one: a belief that markets are self-adjusting and that the role of government should be minimal. Looking back at that belief during hearings this fall on Capitol Hill, Alan Greenspan said out loud, “I have found a flaw.” Congressman Henry Waxman pushed him, responding, “In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right; it was not working.” “Absolutely, precisely,” Greenspan said. The embrace by America—and much of the rest of the world—of this flawed economic philosophy made it inevitable that we would eventually arrive at the place we are today.

It’s also a very entertaining read.

Could Auto Bailout Trigger CDS Apocalypse?

Because it appears that many of the credit default swaps (CDS) were written so that this might be the case

It’s this appointment of a government administrator to oversee automakers’ large expenditures and asset sales that has raised the possibility of a bankruptcy event for credit-default swaps, said Banc of America Securities analyst Glen Taksler.
He noted that the International Swaps and Derivatives Association, the trade group that acts as a standard-setter for credit-derivatives trading, says one trigger for a bankruptcy credit event is the appointment of an administrator, trustee or similar official to oversee all or most of an entity’s assets.

Once again, we see how financial “innovation” has created phony money at the cost of the real economy.

Is Cerberus Pulling a Scam on the Congress With Chrysler?

I think that the most detailed analysis of this is by Dan Gerstein, who is a a political communications consultant, and was, “Communications director to Sen. Joe Lieberman (D-Conn.) and as a senior adviser on his vice presidential and presidential campaigns,” so we know that he’s a professional liar (that’s what a political communications consultant is), and that he associates with people with no sense of decency (Lieberman), so it should be read with that caveat, but his explanation of just how Cerberus is taking the taxpayer to the cleaners is the clearest and most concise explanation. (I’ll have alternate links below)

The issues:

  • Cerberus is chock full of Republican Party apparachicks, including Former Bush Secretary of the Treasury John Snow, who personally lobbied Hank Paulson to, “Salvage Cerberus’s investments in Detroit,” additional politically connected lobbyiests and corporate officers include:
    • Bush I VP Dan Quayle
    • Former Sen. John Breaux (a Dem, but very much a DINO)
    • Former Bush legislative liaison David Hobbs
    • Uber-Lobbyist Billy J. Cooper
    • Arnold I. Havens, a former general counsel of the Treasury Department
    • Christopher A. Smith, former chief of staff in the Treasury
  • Conservative estimates are the Cerberus manages somewhere around $30 billion, so they have the wherewithal to float a loan to Chrysler.
  • I think that the likely truth is that they don’t want to back Chrysler. They bought it from Mercedes Benz in the hopes of a quick sale to GM, classic flip and flee. Certainly the reports that they are trying for a quick sale to a Chinese auto manufacturer supports this.
  • A number of Congressmen, most notably Senator Grassley of Iowa, are demanding detailed information on the financial status of Cerberus, equity warrants being sort of like stock, but are not stock, since Chrysler is private.
  • They also have 51% ownership of GMAC, the auto lending firm spun off from GM, which means that they are getting taxpayer money twice.

On the bright side, what just passed requires Cerberus to put up equity warrants in exchange for the loans, equity warrants are kind of like stocks, but only for private firms, which have no stock.

Stephen Colbert is a Genius

So, he shows Stephen Hayes from CNN, and says that for the economy, losing the auto industry would just be like losing a foot, but then he continues:

Right…it’s just a foot. If we had let the banking industry fail we would have lost our assholes.

2:50 on this vid

Your Daily Dose of Corruption

Well, it now appears that Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. is ‘Senate Candidate No. 5’ in l’affaire Blagojevich, which means that either someone on his staff was freelancing, or he is looking at prosecution too.

Also, the House Ethics Committee is expanding its investigation of Rep Charles Rangel, basically influence peddling, and feeding web design jobs to his son.

On the Republican side, FBI is looking into allegations that a Norm Coleman friend, Nasser Kazeminy, laundered money into Coleman’s pockets.

Update on the Sitdown Strike

It appears that the owner may have been planning to shut down the plant and skip town for some time. It appears that, “company managed by the wife of Republic Windows and Doors owner Richard Gillman recently purchased an Iowa plant that manufactures similar products.”

Echo Windows and Doors was created two weeks ago and lists Sharon Gillman as its manager, according copies of records obtained by the Daily News from the Iowa Secretary of the State. According to Cook County property tax records, Sharon Gillman is Richard Gillman’s wife.

The couple purchased a $2.6 million Oak Street condo together in 2007, according to property records.

The Gillimans could not be reached for comment today. But this afternoon, Richard Gillman released a statement confirming the creation of the new company.

Also, Amy Zimmerman, who has served as Republic’s marketing director, is now listed as the contact on the newly registered echowindows.com domain name. She refused comment today.

As much as it pains me to say this, it may very well be that Bank of America is blameless in all this. The Gillimans may have set up a second company to find cheap non-union plant in Iowa, and then screwed up their credit line with BoA on purpose, so they could get out from under things like COBRA, owed vacation time, and other benefits.

In the mean time it appears that Chase, which had a 40% stake in Republic, is actually doing the right thing: it has pledged $400,000 to the employees there.

Still, this is getting weird, and if this is a scam by the Gillimans, and it looks increasingly so, there may very well be a criminal fraud case against them.

You Know that No One Will See See the Inside of a Cell

Or even a few days paid suspension, but it’s pretty clear that Barry Cooper found some dirty cops in Odessa, TX.

He set up a house with surveillance equipment, and then put a couple of Christmas trees under grow lights, and 24 hours later, the police swore to probably cause to get a search warrant, and entered the house.

They are currently refusing to supply the affidavits, but it’s clear what happened: They illegally used infrared cameras looking for grow lights, and then lied to a judge to get a warrant.

Economics Update

Well, now we have a report from MasterCard saying that gasoline consumption rose year over year for the first time since April, which I guess gives us an indication of just how quickly American consumers go back to their old ways when fuel prices fall.

In the meantime, Calculated Risk’s Credit Crisis Indicators have shown a bit of improvement, though with people taking negative interest to be in US treasuries, I’m not sure how reassuring that it.

In any case, it’s now clear that last week’s surge in mortgage applications was from people scrambling to lock in rates and this week, we have the application rate plunge, because this week’s applicants rushed to apply last week.

Meanwhile, consumer spending looks to post the biggest drop since just after Pearl Harbor, which is really pretty scary when you think of it.

And there won’t be much help on the export markets, with both China and Europe showing more signs of slowing themselves.

Which leads one to wonder when they will stop lending to us, because the U.S. budget deficit was $164.4 billion in November, up from $98.2 billion in November 2007.

Finally, we have oil rising on a Saudi supply cut, retail gasoline dropping for the 84th straight day, and the Dollar was mixed again today.