Year: 2008

McClellan Says White House Plame Coverup is Ongoing

I am not surprised, except for the fact that Congress has been so complicit in this coverup:

“The continuing cloud of suspicion is not something I can remove because I only one part of the story,” McClellan said in his opening statement before the House Judiciary Committtee this morning. “Only those who know the underlying truth can bring this to an end. Sadly, they remain silent.”

First Gitmo Habeas Suit Filed

It’s been filed by Abdul Rahim Abdul Razak al Ginco who is demanding that the US government show cause as to why he is detained.

According to the article, before he was detained and tortured by us as a potential terrorist, he was detained and tortured by the Taliban as a US spy in Afghanistan.

I think that we will be discovering that we tortured a bunch of innocent people, and now Bush and His Evil Minions are afraid that if we let them go, they will be angry at us…well, duh.

Obama to Will Not Take Public Financing

I approve his campaign’s decision to eschew public financing and the associated spending limits.

He will get a lot more money from his donors for the general.

The only thing that I argue about is that they missed an opportunity to attack McCain. They could have given the reason for this as, “John McCain is in felony violation of the campaign finance law that he wrote, so it’s not reasonable to expect good faith in his negotiations.

Monoliner MBIA Playing Chicken With Regulators

Yves Smith notes that monoliner bond insurer MBIA, after raising over a billion dollars through an equity offering, is refusing to transfer the proceeds from its holding company to its insurance subsidiary.

It appears that they are doing this because senior executives are paid by the holding company, and not the insurers.

One wonders then, why regulators, in this case Eric Dinallo, the New York State insurance commissioner, aren’t doing something about this, and the answer is blackmail:

The risks associated with the vast, unregulated market for credit default swaps played a crucial role in the bailout of Bear Stearns. Now these financial instruments are taking center stage in another Wall Street drama: whether regulators will let MBIA, the big bond insurance company, renege on a promise to shore up a crucial unit with $900 million in capital.

MBIA has written $137 billion in swaps, which are privately traded insurance contracts that let people bet on companies’ financial health. Most of these contracts stipulate that if MBIA’s bond insurance unit becomes insolvent or is taken over by state regulators, buyers can demand payment immediately.

But if that were to happen, MBIA would have far less money to pay policyholders and owners of municipal bonds backed by the company. So the swaps give MBIA significant leverage over Eric R. Dinallo, the commissioner of the New York State insurance department, who wanted the company to bolster its insurance unit with the $900 million in cash.

As the old saying goes, “If you owe the bank $1000, the bank owns you. But if you owe the bank $1,000,000, you own the bank.”

I’m thinking that perhaps a better solution for New York State regulators might be to find a way to arrest senior management at MBIA, as it appears that their capital raising was clearly fraudulent.

Senate Polling Numbers

In Maine, we have Susan Collins(R) fading, she is now leading Tom Allen(D) by 49%-42%, but any incumbent below 50% is in trouble, and not so long ago it was something like 52-39.

The one that surprises me though are the numbers for Mississippi, where the kinda-sorta incumbent* Roger Wicker(R) is behind Ronnie Musgrove(D) 46%-47%.

I would not expect that in Mississippi.

*Wicker has been in the Senate for only a few months, he was appointed to replace Lott when he retired to become a lobbyist .

This Much Schadenfreude Should Be Illegal

Chuch Prince, former CEO of Citi who was fired for their losses that resulted from the collapse of the housing market, is now unable to find a buyer for his house .

Prince’s five-bedroom Tudor-style house in Greenwich, Connecticut, has been on the market for six months. He has cut the price by $300,000 to $5.85 million, according to the property listing.

It appears that he paid $4.48M for the house in 2003, so one wonders why he isn’t lowering the price more.

Maybe he has a 2nd mortgage on it…..heh.

Public Ownership of Our Communications Infrastructure: It Just Works Better.

Harold Feld, a specialist in telco and spectrum issues with an eye toward public access, points me to an interesting bit of information, that while the UK, with its largely free market (by Europe’s standards) broadband market place lags behind the rest of Europe, the town of Nuenen, population 7500, provides its residents with 100mbs connectivity, with triple play access (internet, phone, TV) for €39/month (about $60), on a municipally owned network.

What’s more:

If a community-funded ISP sounds like a wacky European socialist plot, consider this: OnsNet generated an operating profit of about €1 million on revenues of €4 million in the past financial year – and that’s after a massive upgrade in which it wired the entire community with dual-fibre capability. What has your ISP done for you lately?

Faster, better, and cheaper than what you can get in the UK, where they require that the last mile wiring and internet service must be separate, which in turn is faster, better and cheaper than what you can get in the US, where the only rule is maximize the next quarter’s profits.

The idea that an unregulated market in broadband to the home creates innovation is simply wrong. We have had nearly 20 years of this policy now, starting with ISDN, and the US has the worst broadband service in the industrialized world.

The goal of a company is to make a profit, and the easiest way for incumbents to make profit is to create barriers to entry, not by providing better of cheaper service.

No Bid Contracts

Well, it looks like the Iraqi oil ministry, likely on the advice of the American advisers who work there, have cut some deals with some oile companies for field maintenance

Exxon Mobil, Shell, Total and BP — the original partners in the Iraq Petroleum Company — along with Chevron and a number of smaller oil companies, are in talks with Iraq’s Oil Ministry for No-Bid Contracts to service Iraq’s largest fields, according to ministry officials, oil company officials and an American diplomat.

(emphasis mine)

No bid contracts…says it all.

Economics Update

Weekly unemployment claims fell 5000 to 381,000 from the week before, though predictions had been for 375,000. It’s noisy, but the number is still too damn high, even if the leading indicators are up for the 3rd straight month (though not by much).

I would be more concerned that the Philadelphia Business Outlook Survey by the Federal Reserve went down when the experts predicted an improvement. (As Philly goes, so goes the nation’s economy, at least that’s how the Fed sees it).

Energy news was generally good though. Oil dropped because the Chinese are going to stop subsidising retail gasoline and diesel purchases, which should reduce demand considerably, and retail gasoline prices fell for the 3rd day in a row to $4.073 a gallon.

For some reason, the dollar fell too, though conventional wisdom would say that it should have risen.

On a day to day basis, there is more noise than data, you get a better picture on (at least) a weekly look.

In any case, I would not be hoping for a quick real estate turn around. Mortgage rates just hit a 9 month high, and all indications are that it will go higher, particularly since Triad Guaranty’s mortgage insurance subsidiary is shutting down, which is the first time that I’ve heard about a mortgage insurer shutting down.

If this becomes more common, it will force mortgage rates up, and home sales and prices further down.

But it wouldn’t be fair for me to talk about insurers without talking about the monoline insurers, who are insolvent, but still have AAA ratings from the agencies…at least from some of the agencies.

Ambac Financial, the second largest of the monoline insurers, is terminating its contract with Fitch Ratings, because Fitch dropped their ratings.

They are the 4th monoliner to drop a ratings agency because they don’t like the truth, and it screams out for meaningful regulation.

Zimbabwe Update

Things are not looking good there.

First, we have Mbeki visiting Zimbabwe, and my best guess would be that he told Mugabe that he was doing just fine. Certainly Mbeki’s visit did nothing to prevent Mugabe from expelling a UN human rights official.

It increasingly appears that the Jacob Zuma, who is under investigation for corruption, is the only leader in the ANC who is showing moral authority. This time, he’s saying that the runoff has been tainted by Mugabe’s actions.

Assuming he stays out of jail, Zuma should succeed Mbeki shortly, which would be to the benefit of everyone in sub-Saharan Africa.

It is also worth noting that Kenyan Prime Minister Raila Odinga, himself no stranger to stolen elections, has called on Mugabe to step down.

Finally, we have the continuing problem of violence by the opposition’s skulls against ZANU-PF batons and pipes. The mayor of Harare and 4 MDC activists bodies were found bludgeoned to death.

When You Think That They Can Go No Lower

They continue to surprise…in a bad way.

Everyone’s poster child for mercenaries, Blackwater USA, is now asserting that they bear no culpability for a plane crash in which their under trained and reckless employees killed US soldiers when they crashed into a mountain top in Afghanistan because the law of the land there is Sharia, and “Sharia law does not hold a company responsible for the actions of employees performed within the course of their work.

Thats right, they are trying to apply religious law to a civil suit.

I have an idea. Let’s send Eric Prince to Afghanistan to stand trial there.