Month: January 2010

This Explains a Lot About the Washington Post

This story is old, I saved it when I was visiting my Mother-in-Law’s, but my sense of this remains the same.

There was a snowball fight in Washington, DC, and some people threw snowballs at a Hummer driven by a Washington, DC police officer, who then drew his gun and threatened the participants.

If it hadn’t been caught on video, and posted to Youtube (included), and the police claimed that it never happened, until, of course the video, and the photographs showed up all over the web.

This is actually pretty standard: Until you have outrageous law enforcement misconduct on tape, the police deny that it ever happened, and so I have very little to say about this.

That being said, I do have something to say about the Washington Post‘s coverage of the incident.

You see, they took the original police story, “Nothing to see here, move along,” at face value, and they did so despite the fact that a Washington Post editorial staffer was at the event and reported what happened:

Washington Post editorial aide Stephen Lowman was at 14th and U on Saturday when the controversial snowball-fight-cum-police-indiscretion went down. He wasn’t there on assignment–he was just taking it all in.

And take it all in he did. He eye-witnessed the snowball fest and the cop waving around a gun, not to mention all the hubbub that ensued.

So Lowman got on the phone to the Post, to give the newsroom a heads-up. He says he was placed in contact with staff writer Matt Zapotosky. Lowman told Zapotosky about the confrontation and the gun. It was just after 3 pm.

………………

Two hours later, at 5:40 pm, the inexplicable takes place: The Washington Post files a post by Zapotosky and Martin Weilrefuting the photographic evidence already on the Web and taking the official position of the D.C. Police Department. Here are some key excerpts:

Assistant Chief Pete Newsham, who leads the department’s investigative services bureau, said it appears the patrol officer acted appropriately, and the worst the detective might have done is use inappropriate language in dealing with the snowball fighters.

So, what we have by the time that the Post covers the story is:

  • A staffer who says that a cop pulled a gun at a snowball fight.
  • Pictures and videos all over the internet showing that the cop pulled his gun and brandished it, which is technically assault with a deadly weapon.

Now the folks at DC’s alternative paper, the Washington City Paper, whose link I am citing in the story, broke this. They had the pictures, they linked to the Youtube, etc., and they, or at least their reporter Erik Wemple, think that this is all about the WaPo not wanting to link to them, because they are a bunch of DFH’s* from the alternative weekly.

I think that they are wrong. I think that what is going on is far more malevolent.

I think that this has nothing to do with the Post dissing an alternative weekly competitor, and it has everything to do with being an upper middle class, and overwhelmingly white institution in a city that is majority black.

Simply put, they went with the police story, because the unspoken bias of the Washington Post editors is that they need to keep the N***ers down. They go with a blatantly false police account of the events for the same reason that they so so aggressively repeat and amply blatantly false Republican spin: They believe that the police and the Republicans are the best way to keep N***ers in their place in the District.

Then again, maybe I am just reading way to much into this, and it’s just a crappy and lazy reporter.

*Dirty F%$#ing Hippies.

You Have to Love the Internet

Because, you can find a monkey chimp getting to 2nd base with Bo Derek in her 1981 celluloid horror, Tarzan, the Ape Man, and see an animated gif of the scene:

I’m no prude, and even though I’ll probably never do it again, I understand that boobs are fun to suck on. That’s great. Everybody suck more boobs! I just cannot believe that the frigid MPAA was down with this (and still is since the movie is in print and everything!), and that Bo Derek, the sole producer of Tarzan, the Ape Man, was like, “Yes. That time that the monkey rounded second on me is sooooo going in the movie!” This has to be the most line-crossing thing I’ve ever seen in a film OK’ed by the MPAA. A cursory Google search came up with zero mentions of this, which means I’m either the first person to point out the fucked-upedness of this, or I’m just easily excited. Kind of like that monkey.

Anyway, here’s a still. I’m tempted to transcribe this scene and read it for Porn for the Blind or perhaps recreate it with Winston and some peanut butter on my nipple, but I doubt even that would make it more real. My mind is blown forever.

Completely NSFW, though the good folks at the MPAA gave the film an “R” rating.

Really, NSFW, though Bo Derek is very buff, and it reminds us all why she was a sex symbol in the early 1980s.

Adventures in American MBA Wankertude

Steve Blank relates a story, one which is all to frequently repeated in American Boardrooms, where the new CFO comes into a startup company that is finally making a profit, and decides to end the provision of free soda to employees, which saves $10,000 a month, but chases away the experienced staff:

Sometimes financial decisions that are seemingly rational on their face can precipitate mass exodus of your best engineers.

……………

I had lived through this same conversation four times in my career, and each time it ended as an example of unintended consequences. No one on the board or the executive staff was trying to be stupid. But to save $10,000 or so, they unintentionally launched an exodus of their best engineers.

This company had grown from the founders, who hired an early team of superstars, many now managing their own teams. All these engineers were still heads-down, working their tails off, just as they had been doing since the first few months of the company. Too busy working, most were oblivious to the changes that success and growth had brought to the company.

The Elves Leave Middle Earth – Sodas Are No Longer Free
One day the engineering team was clustered in the snack room looking at the soda machine. The sign said, “Soda now 50 cents.” The uproar began. Engineers started complaining about the price of the soda. Someone noticed that instead of the informal reimbursement system for dinners when they were working late, there was now a formal expense report system. Some had already been irritated when “professional” managers had been hired over their teams with reportedly more stock than the early engineers had. Lots of email was exchanged about “how things were changing for the worse.” A few engineers went to the see the CEO.

But the damage had been done. The most talented and senior engineers looked up from their desks and noticed the company was no longer the one they loved. It had changed. And not in a way they were happy with.

The best engineers quietly put the word out that they were available, and in less than month the best and the brightest began to drift away.

Truth be told, I’ve never worked a company that gave out free sodas in the break room in the first place, and if I were to start a company, I would not choose this as a benefit for the employees, but it is American management that would create that would chase away its most valuable employees by counting pennies this way.

To the degree that the United States has achieved economic success since the end of the 2nd World War, it has been in spite of management, not because of it.

Capitalism at Its Finest: Debit Card Edition

Andrew Martin exposes how Visa and the banks have colluded to increase the interchange fees charged merchants for debit cards.

Basically, because Visa can use its market share to force merchants to accept its products, and because it splits the interchange fees with the banks, it creates a situation where fees in the US are the highest in the world, and every merchant, and by extension every buyer, pays to shovel money to Visa and its client banks.

The reason for this is because Visa and MasterCard do not compete for end user consumers, they compete to get banks to offer their cards to end-user consumers, and they compete by raising prices, which they split with the banks:

As debit cards became the preferred plastic in American wallets, Visa has turned its attention to PIN debit too and increased its market share even more. And it has succeeded — not by lowering the fees that merchants pay, but often by pushing them up, making its bank customers happier.

In an effort to catch up, MasterCard and other rivals eventually raised fees on debit cards too, sometimes higher than Visa, to try to woo bank customers back.

“What we witnessed was truly a perverse form of competition,” said Ronald Congemi, the former chief executive of Star Systems, one of the regional PIN-based networks that has struggled to compete with Visa. “They competed on the basis of raising prices. What other industry do you know that gets away with that?”

This is only possible because Visa has a near monopoly, and even after it settled an anti-trust lawsuit, and agreed not to tie its expensive debit cards to all Visa products, merchants still cannot afford to diss the product, because the market share is too high.

This is, of course, what the Chicago School’s “perfect markets” create: Monopolies and near markets that create market “stickiness” that ill serve anyone but the monopolist.

It’s a capitalist’s dream, but a consumer’s nightmare, to the tune of about $427 per household per year.

Shoot Me, I Agree With David Frum

Who is a Canadian turned right wing former George W. Bush speech writer.

Frum takes Commentary magazine,* and staff writer Jennifer Rubin, over her article “Why Jews Hate Palin”, in which she suggests that Jews, or at least Jewish liberals, hate rural people, hunters, people who work with their hands (note here, Palin never really worked with her hands except for summer jobs when she was in school), people who have large families, the military and military families, and people who denigrate education.

Also she thinks that Jews find her too pretty, and hate her for that.

You know, her article could come from the mouth of Patrick Buchanan, it’s so full of stereotypes, and Frum is remarkably kind to her in his response, but he nails her to the last wall.

The last paragraph says it all”

But even this is not the worst of it. Just guessing, but I think the real and most fundamental problem Jews have with Palin is not her gleeful ignorance, but her willful divisiveness. More than any politician in memory, Palin seems to divide her fellow-Americans into first class and second class citizens, real Americans and not-so-real Americans. To do her justice, she has never said anything to suggest that Jews as Jews fall into the second, less-real, class. But Jews do tend to have an intuition that when this sort of line-drawing is done, we are likely to find ourselves on the wrong side.

Also, add the fact that she literally shared a stage with a professional witch hunter, one who had driven “witches” out of his community, at her church, and the juxtaposition of Christian witch-hunters and the Jewish community is………How to put this?………Most unfortunate.

That being said, Frum does miss a point: that Jews don’t view her more negatively than the general population:

The entirety of the Commentary article rests on the notion that Jews actually disproportionately dislike Palin. As her one piece of evidence, Rubin cites a 9/08 poll showing that only 37 percent of Jews approve of Palin. Is this really disproportionately low?

………………

So going by their partisan voting patterns alone, we would expect 36.5 percent of Jews to approve of Palin — almost exactly what that poll found.

Though to be fair to Mr. Frum, I found that blog post in his tweets, and the negative tags for this post apply to Ms. Rubin, and not him.

*No links to the magazine, ever. It got hijacked by the John Podhoretz Neocon insanity in the late 1960s, and no more link to them than I would link to Michelle Malkin.

Paul Krugman Destroys the Fannie/Freddie CRA Myth

Paul Krugman looks at both home and commercial real estate, and notices that they had a virtually identical trajectory.

So the bubble in commercial real estate, where Fannie and Freddie do not lend, and where the Commercial Reinvestment Act held no sway, had just the same sort of bubble.

From my perspective, the CRE bubble is highly significant; it gives the lie both to those who blame Fannie/Freddie/Community Reinvestment for the housing bubble, and those who blame predatory lending. This was a broad-based bubble.

While I agree that the graph shows that government involvement in the US residential real estate market did not produce the crisis, I do think that the bubble was an artifact of excessively lax lending standards and excessively low interest rates, and these were an artifact of government policy, at least if you consider the actions of then Federal Reserve Board, and its Chairman Alan “Bubbles” Greenspan to be government acts.

Economics Update

Click for full size


Deleveraging: The recession continues until it’s done
h/t Calculated Risk


H/t Calculated Risk

Well, the NFP came out, and the non-farm payroll fell by 85,000, and unemployment (U3) remained at 10%, which kind of gives the lie to all those forecasts that predicted an increase.

On bright spot, however, was that “November payrolls were revised to show the economy actually added 4,000 jobs rather than losing 11,000,” so the 22 month losing streak is broken….Kind of. (BLS link)

Consumer spending is not bouncing back either, as US consumer credit fell by $17.5 billion, a new record, indicating that consumers are continuing to deleverage and pay down their debts, taking us yet further into the paradox of thrift.

The fact that US office vacancies hit 17 pct, a 15-year high, reinforces the idea that things are still not turning around, though a surprise increase in wholesale inventories weighs in on the other side of the ledger.

Treasuries rose. and the dollar fell on the jobs report, as investors fled the dollar, and ran to treasuries, because of concerns about the strength of the recovery.

Of more concern is the fact that oil still rose after the abysmal NFP report, which implies that the new stable level for oil prices is above $80/bbl, which would have the effect of further crippling any recovery.

Cracks in the Republican Façade

Dick Lugar just called out Dick Cheney on his statements about terrorism:

Richard Lugar, the top Republican on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, defended President Barack Obama’s handling of recent terrorism threats, taking issue with former Vice President Dick Cheney’s criticism.

“It’s unfair,” Lugar said in an interview for Bloomberg Television’s “Political Capital with Al Hunt,” airing this weekend. “I think the president is focused.”

It’s either a sign of the apocalypse, or Senator Lugar is thinking about switching parties.

Little Timothy Geithner has Been a Bad, Bad, Boy

Bloomberg is reporting that the New York Bank of the Federal Reserve instructed AIG not to make disclosures that SEC regulators were demanding regarding their payouts on swap contracts (The New York Times has more, including copies of the emails in questions, which I’ve posted below.):

The Federal Reserve Bank of New York, then led by Timothy Geithner, told American International Group Inc. to withhold details from the public about the bailed-out insurer’s payments to banks during the depths of the financial crisis, e-mails between the company and its regulator show.

AIG said in a draft of a regulatory filing that the insurer paid banks, which included Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Societe Generale SA, 100 cents on the dollar for credit-default swaps they bought from the firm. The New York Fed crossed out the reference, according to the e-mails, and AIG excluded the language when the filing was made public on Dec. 24, 2008. The e-mails were obtained by Representative Darrell Issa, ranking member of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee.

Now, I take anything from Darrell Issa with a grain of salt, he’s a liar, and one of the rather more corrupt Republican members of Congress, but seeing as how House Banking Committee Chairman Barney Frank is saying that this is “Troubling,” and he wants hearings, and both Edolphus Towns, Chairman, and Elijah Cummings, member, of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, have been screaming about getting a hearing about this, it seems that Frank may get his wish.

The big deal here is that the NY Fed took over negotiations, and paid off AIG’s swaps at 100¢ on the dollar, which is pretty much unheard of, and at the time that this information was being suppressed, Geithner was already the nominee to be Secretary of the Treasury:

This episode suggests that the NY Fed – and Geithner, then a nominee for Secretary of the Treasury – were worried about any political fallout from the swap payments. When the details were released months later (and after Geithner was confirmed as Treasury Secretary), critics alleged that Geithner had failed to negotiate a better deal for the swap payments with the Wall Street firms.

They perpetuated a fraud upon the American public and on Congress, because little Timmy wanted to be SecTreas.

The New York Fed is now saying that Geithner was uninvolved in the decision to suppress this information, but it’s a no-win situation.

Geithner was front and center in making sure that the swaps were paid off at face value, so the attempt to suppress the date was either because he was covering his own ass., or because he was incompetent and uninvolved, and the Fed bureaucracy bailed him out because they saw him as being the Fed’s Bitch*.

FWIW, I think that this was all part of the campaign by the bureaucracy of the Fed to make Geithner Secretary of the Treasury, though Felix Salmon has a point when he says that the completely over the top culture of secrecy at the central bank was has always been a flaw in the culture of the institution: Independence does not equal secrecy, though the Fed always has seen it that way.

David Dayen at FDL makes the cogent point that even if the payouts were legal, it appears that the cover-up was not legal.

The real problem, as Barry Ritholtz so ably notes, is as follows:

Between Summers and Geithner, it appears that President Obama has made the exact same mistake that one George W. Bush did: Instead of filling his administration’s most important posts with his own people, he reached back to prior admins (Cheney, Rumsfeld, etc) and loaded up on incompetent retreads.

(emphasis mine)

One thing is certain though, that the case for auditing the Federal Reserve has been made much stronger by the most recent scandal.

*A good bet, since the history shows that Timothy Geithner has been the bitch of anything remotely close to a bank or a brokerage his entire career.

Emails reproduced after break:

E-mails from N.Y. Fed to A.I.G. to Not Disclose Counterparty Payments

I Have Mixed Feelings about the French Burqa Ban

The leader of the French Parliament, Jean-François Copé, has restated his intention to ban the Burqa (see pic) in France.

He plans to put forward a law to impose fines of up to €750 ($1050) for anyone who appears in public with their faces covered, and there would, “Stiffer punishments would be laid down for men who ‘forced’ their wives or daughters to wear full-body veils.”

There would be exceptions for the wearing of masks on “festive occasions,” which means, I guess that Halloween has become an institution in France too.

Interestingly enough, Nicolas “President Bling Bling” Sarkosy is trying to slow this down, though one wonders, considering his statements about having a “debate on national identity” got the ball rolling, how sincere he is.

It’s clear that the politics play into some very base feelings, but there is a legitimate question about what is, or should be appropriate public behavior in any society, even a modern Western society.

While societies should be accommodating, there does have to be a line drawn.

I believe that a head scarf (Hijab) should be allowed both in public and the workplace, I do think that the Burqa, and it’s slightly less extreme cousins the Niqab and Chador are over when used outside of a religious observance.

The politics here get really weird though:

Yesterday the veteran far-right leader, Jean-Marie Le Pen, also rejected the need for new legislation against the burka, perhaps surprisingly. He said that the existing French legal code already banned masks in public places. “All they need to do is apply the law,” he said.

Le Pen opposes the Burqa ban? Le Pen?!!?!? I do not understand French politics.

I would also note that the number of people who wear the extreme coverings in France is well small, perhaps 2,000 out of a female Muslim population of 1½ million, so either it’s a problem that does not need to be addressed, or it’s one that can be nipped in the bud, depending on where you feelings lie in this matter.

As I said at the beginning, I am conflicted: I think that the Burqa is a very bad thing, but I’m still not sure if it rises to the level of a problem that requires a formal prohibition under law.

Krugman Just Called Ben Bernanke a Wanker

In his New York Times blog.

It was pretty polite, but it was also rather firm:

Here’s the story of two metro areas, Los Angeles (which has run out of room to sprawl) and Atlanta, the ultimate Sprawl City:

Huge bubble in LA; nothing in Atlanta. Looking at the national data was deeply misleading.

So here’s one of the charts from Bernanke’s paper at the meetings:

Yep, he’s using average US housing prices as a bubble indicator. This wouldn’t matter if the division between Flatland and the Zoned Zone was comparable across the advanced world, but it isn’t: other advanced countries lack sprawling metros comparable to Atlanta or Houston. So we aren’t learning much from this comparison.

And the whole thing suggests that the Fed hasn’t learned much about how to identify housing bubbles.

(emphasis mine)

Meow! I whole heartedly approve.

More Ass Covering by the Fed

We are now getting whispers that the Federal Reserve is planning to get tough with the banks:

If the Fed chairman’s speech didn’t worry investors, his timing is interesting. Ben Bernanake now flies to Switzerland for a meeting with the world’s other central bankers.

Saturday’s invitation from the Bank of International Settlements specifically questions whether banks—using cheap money—are returning to the aggressive behavior that prevailed during the pre-crisis period.

What we will see is a lot of fake toughness, because Bernanke is trying to do everything that he can to kill the Fed audit bill.

Barack Obama Lobbies for Tax on Elderly and Labor Unions

Yes, Barack Obama is finally taking a stand in the healthcare bill, and he is lobbying for a tax on high cost healthcare plans, as opposed to a tax on the wealthy. This means that older people, who have to pay more for health insurance, and labor unions, who literally shed blood for their health care, are getting completely screwed.

It’s also horrifically bad policy:

  • It will target a much larger swath of the population than is promised.
  • It will do little to reign in healthcare costs, just look at the Health Savings Account debacle, and the “Rand study from the 1970s found that higher co-pays and deductibles led patients to limit medically necessary care as much as wasteful care, possibly leading to more costly health-care needs later.”
  • Much of the tax revenue from this is from the completely delusional assumption that the money taken out of insurance will be returned to employees as wages by their employers.

Seriously, I knew that we had elected a center-right Democrat as president, but I am surprised that we apparently elected a Republican.

Unsurprisingly, Obama is getting some pushback from the liberals in the House, most notably Raul Grijalva (D-AZ), who is saying that this clusterf%$# is his baby now, and he needs to work to make the bill better, and that this tax proposal violates Obama’s campaign promise not to raise taxes on the middle class.

Of course, whenever a politician promises not to raise taxes on the middle class, he’s lying.

Economics Update

first time unemployment claims rose slightly this week, up 1,000 to 434,000, down from the 490,000 at this time last year, and the 4 week average fell to 450,250.

I would note that this number needs to be below about 400K before non-farm payroll increases, and if the December numbers show an increase in NFP, it’s seasonal adjustment bull sh$#.

The numbers are better, but it’s still, “better in a not getting worse as fast,” way.

That being said, retail sales surprised on the upside, with December sales up 3% over the 2008 numbers, though still down by about 2-3% FROM 2007.

We also had some big news in central bank land, with China’s central bank raising its benchmark rate, with 3-month bills increasing to 1.3684%, up 4.04 basis points (0.0404%) from the rate that it had maintained for the past 4 months.

It indicates that they will be tightening on the money supply, which could get interesting, because much of the Chinese stock market is smoke and mirrors. Additionally, it may be a first step in allowing the Yuan to drift higher, as higher returns make the currency more attractive.

On the less surprising side of stupid central bank tricks, the Bank of England left both rates and policy unchanged, which means that they are still printing money hand over fist.

Also, Treasurys fell slightly, though I think that this is concern regarding the NFP payroll data.

Energy and currency surprised. The surprise increase in Chinese rates would normally presage an increase in oil prices, because there is the assumption that there is additional demand that is being tamped down, and the dollar down, because the Yuan becomes more attractive, but in fact, oil fell slightly, to below $ 83/bbl, though that might be profit taking, and the dollar rose fairly sharply.

A Very Good Idea

The FDIC is looking to use a formula for its insurance fees that is driven by banker pay:

U.S. regulators are set to consider a plan that would tie the amount banks pay for deposit insurance to the riskiness of the institutions’ pay structures, a source familiar with the matter said Thursday.

Under the proposal to be considered next week by the board of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, banks that base compensation on solid performance metrics and include measures such as “clawbacks” would pay less for deposit insurance, the source said, speaking anonymously because the proposal has not yet been released.

Banks with riskier schemes that reward short-term gains would have to pay higher fees.

This is a good start, but it’s too easy for the bankers to game, and gaming financial contracts is what bankers do.

Set the fee based on total remuneration of the highest paid person at the bank, including bonuses.

For each multiple of the President of the United State’s salary ($400K) raise the insurance fee by 1 basis point (0.01%).

If your highest paid guy gets $4 million in a year, the surcharge is a manageable 0.1%, if he gets $40 million a year, it’s 1%, if it’s $70,324,352, which is what Lloyd Blankfein received in 2007, then it is 1¾%.

That should cut down on banker bonuses.

Hell, make it a payroll tax, and apply it to businesses across the board. It would cut down on overpaid athletes too.