Year: 2010

OK, Now I’ve Seen Everything

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The US 170th Infantry Brigade rehearsing for its march at the Victory Day parade in Red Square

Active duty units of the US, British, French and Polish military will be marching in Red Square tomorrow in the Victory Day parade:

Never before in history have active-duty American troops been invited to march in the Victory Day parade, according to the United States military. The occasion is the 65th anniversary of the defeat of Nazi Germany in World War II, a date that carries an almost sacred meaning in Russia. Russian leaders have taken pains to explain that the Americans — along with contingents from Britain, France and Poland — were invited as representatives of the “anti-Hitler coalition.”

It would have been inconceivable that the Russians would have invited American troops, and it would have been inconceivable that the Pentagon would have accepted, just a few years ago.

Rumsfeld and Cheney were trying to recreate the threatening “Russian Bear” for political advantage, and the entire foreign policy of the Bush administration was about unilateralism and boneheaded hostility.

George Orwell Would Be Proud Appalled

The 4 most knowledgeable journalists at Guantanamo Bay have been banned for “revealing” the identity of one of the witnesses, “Interrogator #1”.

The reason that I put “revealing” in quotes is because the individual in question’s name has been public knowledge for years:

Now the military has taken another great step toward enhancing the credibility of the proceedings by booting four reporters for violating a judge’s secrecy order. Their violation? Publishing the name of a former military interrogator who was a witness at the hearing. The Pentagon has now barred Miami Herald reporter Carol Rosenberg, Toronto Star reporter Michelle Shephard, Globe and Mail reporter Paul Koring and CanWest news service reporter Steven Edwards from covering future military commissions at Gitmo.

And here’s the kicker: The identity of the interrogator had been widely reported before the trial. The name of the individual — known as “Interrogator No. 1″ in the courtroom at Gitmo — had been published during a 2005 court-martial in which he pleaded guilty to prisoner abuse in Afghanistan. And he had also allowed the use of his name in an interview with Shepard (!) in 2008.

BTW, it should be recalled that in the case in question the military is trying a child soldier.

Omar Khadr was 15 when the events in question took place.

Seriously, we have the gang that can’t shoot straight, or more accurately, the gang that is so concerned about managing the message that it’s making the “military tribunals” about as meaningful as Stalin’s show trials.

Welcome to our Gulag in the Caribbean.

Teabaggers Win One

Bob Bennett, one of the most conservative members of the Senate, has lost the party caucus in Utah, which means that he will not be in the primary ballot.

He could mount a write-in campaign, but this is highly unlikely.

Seeing as how Utah is not only thoroughly Republican, but foaming at the mouth red-conservative, it’s unlikely that this would give us a Democratic Senator, as happened in that New York Congressional race.

It’s Bank Failure Friday!!!!

And here they are, ordered, and numbered for the year so far.

  1. The Bank of Bonifay, Bonifay, FL
  2. Access Bank, Champlin, MN
  3. Towne Bank of Arizona, Mesa, AZ
  4. 1st Pacific Bank of California, San Diego, CA

Full FDIC list

And here are the credit union closings:

  1. St. Paul’s Croatian Federal Credit Union, Eastlake, OH

Which was closed last Saturday. (Saturday?)

Full NCUA list

So, the numbers seem a bit more “normal”, at least compared to the 8, 7, & 7 over the prior 3 weeks.

So, here is the graph pr0n with trendline (FDIC only):

Economics Update

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Unemployment Population Ratio: Still Not Back

The lede here has to be the non-farm payroll (NFP) numbers for April, which were very, very, good.

There was in increase in payrolls of 290,000 , which was the largest increase since March of 2006, and manufacturing added 44,000 jobs, the largest increase in 12 years.

Additionally, as Paul Krugman observes, “My favorite indicator from the household survey isn’t the unemployment rate, it’s the employment-population ratio — and that’s up, from 58.6 to 58.8.”

It’s been rising since December.

Unfortunately, unemployment worsened, though part of this was discouraged workers returning to work:

But. Keep an eye on those unemployment rates. The headline figure is back up at 9.9%, the highest it’s been this year. The U-6 underemployment rate is a gruesome 17.1%. And U-4, which is total unemployed plus discouraged workers, has hit a new high of 10.6%.”

Even at nearly 300,000 new jobs a month, it will take years for these people to find work again.

Additionally, we have the short-term good/long-term bad news that consumers are using credit once again. Consumer borrowing rose by $2 billion in March.

In energy and currency, it appears that Greece, and the recent UK elections have created uncertainty, which has driven oil prices lower, and the dollar was mixed, up slightly versus the Pound, and down slightly versus the Euro.

Democratic Senate Primary Poll Update

These are obviously daily tracking polls, and only reflect last night’s sentiment, so they are just snap shot.

Arlen Specter is tied with Joe Sestak at 43%, which cannot be good for Specter.

Lincoln seems to be in better shape. She is leading Bill Halter by 44% to 32%, which, if you use the rule of thumb that undecideds go 2:1 to the challenger, has her winning by 52%-48%, though it is still close.

Both primaries are on May 18, so I expect these numbers to move over the next 11 days.

I’m rooting against both incumbents.

Jon Stewart Makes a Very Good Point


See profiling comment at 4:20

As always.

Actually, he makes a number of them, with the big one being, “What are we going to do in this country when we get attacked by someone who’s not one of the Home Alone burgers?”

But there is the little point that he makes that I find far more trenchant.

He runs an ad put out by a Teabagger candidate running against Alan Grayson, Dan Fanelli, talking about profiling terrorists, and brings out two men, one swarthy and bearded, and one white and old, which asks “Where’s Waldo” which one is the terrorist?

This leads the doyenne of late night news to ask the question himself, “Which one? Doctor Kevorkian on the left, or the cast member from The Jersey Shore on the right?”

Stewart’s answer is that the terrorist who flew his plane into the IRS building in Texas looked an awful lot like Congressman wannabe Fanelli.

A Take I Trust on Audit the Fed

Dean Baker, co-director of the CRPR, looks at the deal that Bernie Sanders cut with Chris Dodd, and declares it a victory for the little guy and a big step to making the Federal Reserve accountable, though he does also note the downside of the compromises:

Sanders did make some compromises. The audit has an arbitrary cutoff date of December 2007. The special facilities date from the summer of 2007. It also only has the audit as a one-off proposition, rather than establishing GAO audits of Fed operations as an ongoing principle. The compromise also explicitly exempts open market operations – the Fed’s daily buying and selling of short-term assets to control interest rates – from GAO scrutiny.

These concessions are unfortunate, the Fed is a creation of Congress and for that reason it should be subject to the same investigative procedures as any other federal agency, but they certainly are secondary compared with getting a full accounting of the money lent out through the special facilities. It is also important to note that in one very important way the Sanders compromise goes beyond the original Paul-Grayson language. Under the compromise, the information about the lending facilities will be made fully public where everyone can scrutinize it. The original bill would just have this information made available to the relevant congressional committees. They would then have to make a further decision about what information, if any, would be made public.

My guess is that the December, 2007 cutoff date is not “arbitrary”, and that even as we speak, the Fed is frantically backdating transactions to November 2007, but if this is a step in the process, then it appears to be a good thing.

Previous post here.

Looks to be a Hung Parliament in UK

Unsure of the numbers, but it appears that the Conservatives will have the most seats, but will fall short of the 326 necessary to have a majority government, and that Labour and the Lib-Dems together don’t make 326, so it comes down to either a minority government, or one in which the small fry parties make up the majority.

In any case, Labor got pummeled, and the Lib-Dems appear to have gained votes but lost seats, but the numbers are still not complete.

The Demon Sheep is Back


For a sequel, it’s pretty good.

A while ago, I, and pretty much everyone else in the blogosphere, along with the inestimable Rachel Maddow, pointed out just how remarkable, in a Plan 9 from Outer Space way, Carly Fiorina’s demon sheep campaign ad against Tom Campbell was.

Well, the California Democratic Party and the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee riffed on that bit of political agitprop, and came up with a “sheep” ad of their own.

It’s actually amusing, or it is if you’ve seen the original in all its ghastly glory, though I’m concerned that this is not a good allocation of resources. After all, amusing me, a voter who does not live in California, and would sooner gnaw off my own leg than vote Republican, does not help Barbara Boxer get elected.

A Good Idea that India Should Outsource to Us

The former governor of the Indian Central Bank is suggesting that the nation tax speculative and volatile capital flows:

India should tax foreign capital inflows into the equity market that stay invested for less than two years to protect its financial system and sustain economic growth, said former central bank governor Bimal Jalan.

“If you have unstable, unpredictable, volatile capital flows which are affecting financial stability as well as the real economy’s stability, then you have to find a way of handling them so that they are not free for all,” Jalan, who headed the Reserve Bank of India between 1997 and 2003, said in a telephone interview. “I’m in favor of tax on profits earned from capital flows which are going to the stock market.”

The problem is that this is a really nasty bit of musical chairs, and when the music stops, the IMF takes your house and children.

We should implement something similar in the US. It would also serve to shrink the financial sector, which would be a good thing.

Since it is a really good idea, it won’t be seriously considered here.

Barack Obama is Tired of Your Motherf%$#ing Sh%$

April Winchell, the “21st funniest person in Los Angeles,” has uncovered a gem.

In Barack Obama’s memoir, Dreams From My Father, he quotes some of his friend Ray, who, “Cursed like a Motherf^%$er.”

Well, that’s not special, except for the fact that Barack Obama recorded the audiobook, so you can go to Ms. Winchell’s site, and hear Barack Obama saying things like, “There are white folks, and then there are ignorant motherf%$#ers like you.”

Snerk.

Senate Finance Debate Developments

We have the good:

The bad:

And the confusing:

  • The Audit the Fed amendment appears to be on track to pass, though Bernie Sanders has agreed to narrow its scope, getting Chris Dodd as a cosponsor:

The audit sought by Mr. Sanders would scrutinize an alphabet soup of programs that injected liquidity into the markets, ranging from commercial paper to money market funds. Under the proposal, the accountability office will not question whether the loans should have been made but will focus on operational integrity and accounting practices.

The audit, however, would explore “whether the credit facility inappropriately favors one or more specific participants over other institutions eligible to utilize the facility” and “whether there were conflicts of interest with respect to the manner in which such facility was established or operated.”

It appears that Obama/Geithner/Summers still oppose the audit provision, and are implying that they might consider such a provision worthy of a veto.

As I’ve said before, Summers wants to be Fed chair, so he hates it, Geithner is afraid of being forced to resign in disgrace or of criminal prosecution, and they have Obama’s ear,* so we continue to here noise from the White House in support of opacity as policy.

*But remember, the Cossacks work for the Czar.

Economics Update

It’s jobless Thursday, and initial unemployment claims fell slightly, 7K to 444K, with a 4 week moving average dropping 4,750 to 458,500, and continuing claims fell 59,000 to 4.594 million, though filings for extended claims rose.

Still, we are not seeing numbers that show a recovery in the job market, and the fact that April retail sales disappointed won’t help.

In Yuro land, the European Central Bank held its benchmark steady at 1%, whihc had the effect of pushing the dollar up, which in turn drove oil down.

Basically, Greece trumps the oil disaster.

Obey’s Explanation

Yesterday, he announced his retirement, and today he explains himself.

Basically, he’s sick and tired of the,”the ridiculous, accountability destroying rules of the Senate to confused, angry, and frustrated constituents,” though he also mentions the recent deaths of the his former colleagues John Murtha and Charlie Wilson.

His full statement is below the break.

May 5, 2010

Statement by Congressman David R. Obey
In December I will have been in public service for 48 years – over 6 years in the Wisconsin State Legislature and almost 42 years in the U.S. Congress. I have served in the House longer than anyone in Wisconsin history. God and my constituents have been incredibly good to me.

When I was a kid growing up in Wausau I never dreamed that I would have even one-tenth of the opportunities that have come my way. I hope that I have used those opportunities to do the most that could be done for the causes I believe in: fairer taxes; greater economic opportunity; better schools; affordable health care; expanded education and health care benefits for veterans; research that will help us fight diseases like cancer, diabetes and Parkinson’s; better health, safety, and economic security for workers; cleaner air; and water and preservation of National Parks and public places.

The people of Northern Wisconsin have given me the honor and the privilege of representing them on the great issues of our times, ranging from Vietnam to Watergate, the Iranian hostage crisis, the Reagan deficits, Iran-Contra, the collapse of communism, two Gulf Wars, the economic and budget reforms of the early 1990s, the government shut down, 9/11, and the economic meltdown of the past decade.

For a decade, as Chairman of the Foreign Operations Subcommittee, I had the privilege of helping lead the effort to meet our responsibilities to our fellow human beings around the globe who share this planet with us, but do not share our same good fortune. During that time, we consistently moved foreign aid money away from support of military dictators to the expansion of long-term development activities and through programs like UNICEF contributed to saving millions of children’s lives.

I’m especially proud of the role I paid in resisting American colonialism in Central America, working with people like James Baker, Dave Bonior, Jim Wright, Lee Hamilton, Matt McHugh, Joe Moakley, and Tom Foley to end the Contra War in Nicaragua. Probably, the most important historic role the committee played was the bipartisan work we did with the George H. Bush Administration and officials like Secretary Lawrence Eagleburger in helping Eastern European countries to transition from communist authoritarianism to Western capitalist democracies after the fall of the Berlin wall and the collapse of the Soviet Union.

Although it happened a long time ago, I am especially proud of the losing fight that I helped wage with Congressmen Henry Reuss and Mo Udall to prevent the passage of the fiscally irresponsible Reagan budgets, which at a time of devastating inflation cut taxes at the same time the defense budget was being doubled, all paid for with borrowed money, more than tripling the long-term budget deficit picture. The Obey-Udall-Reuss alternative budget was a progressive alternative to the budgets of both parties, which spent less, borrowed less, and produced smaller deficits than either the Democratic or Republican base bills, and won the support of a majority of Democrats. At the time our actions were hugely unpopular. About 70% of the voters in my district supported Reagan’s budget, but time has proven us right.

Today, I am similarly proud that I was the principle author of the much maligned but absolutely essential Economic Recovery Act of 2009, which in the midst of the deepest and most dangerous economic catastrophe in 70 years, has pumped desperately needed purchasing power into the economy to cushion the fall and reduced the number of families whose breadwinners were thrown out of work. When it was passed last year, the American economy was losing 750,000 jobs per month. Last month, by contrast, the economy added 162,000 jobs, the largest increase in three years. That corner could not have been turned without the Recovery Act. My only apology is that it should have been larger, but it was the most that the system would bear at the time.

I am especially pleased to have had the privilege of presiding over the House when it passed the historic health insurance reform legislation three weeks ago. I have been waiting for that moment for 41 years and its arrival – finally – made all the frustrations of public life worth it.

During my Congressional service, I have also tried to do what I could to keep us out of misguided wars and I have fought to reform the political institutions – especially, the Congress – to improve the quality of their work and to strengthen public confidence in them. And despite the misguided and disastrously destructive decisions of the U.S. Supreme Court that have put the system of American elections on the auction block, I have worked to limit the influence of private money in elections that by definition should be public events.

I think that along the way I have made a difference for the district and state that I represent and for the country.

But there is a time to stay and a time to go. And this is my time to go. I hate to do it. There is so much that needs to be done. But, frankly, I am bone tired. When I first put my name on the ballot for the State Assembly in 1962, I was 23 years old. Now, 48 years later, I will soon be 72. When I went to Congress in 1969, I was the youngest member of the House of Representatives. I’m not anymore. Since that first day in 1962, I have gone through 25 elections and engaged in countless battles.

I’m ready to turn the page, and I think, frankly, that my district is ready for someone new to make a fresh start. Not someone who poses as a fresh face, but would in reality take us back to the “good old days” of Bush tax cuts for the rich and a misguided Iraq war. Not someone whose idea of a fresh idea is to say: “Let the market do it,” which translated means: “Let the corporate elites, big banks, and Wall Street big shots and insurance company CEO’s do anything they want with no regulation to protect investors and consumers.” There is nothing fresh about that. No, what the 7th district deserves and what the country deserves is for someone to step up who can be counted on to put working people first, someone who will bring fresh eyes and fresh energy to the battle, someone who won’t use slick words and an actor’s ability to hide the fact that he is willing to gut and privatize Social Security and Medicare and abandon working people to the arbitrary power of America’s corporate and economic elite.

When I first ran for Congress I wanted to do three things:

1) The first was to help make our economic system more fair for the poor and for middle class working families. Unfortunately, powerful economic and political forces have largely frustrated that effort. Over the last 30 years we have seen the largest transfer of income up the income scale in history. In fact, for six straight years under George W. Bush, over 90% of all the income growth in the country went into the pockets of the wealthiest 10%. The other 90% of the population – the regular people of the country – got table scraps. I regret not being able to do more to turn that around. That, and the inability of the political system to achieve the public financing of political campaigns, represent the biggest disappointments of my public life.

2) My second goal was to expand federal support for education in order to expand opportunity for every American. That has been a hard slog, but, especially in the last three years, we have been able to move a large amount of federal resources to do just that. Just this last year, we were able to greatly enhance federal support for student aid. It is not enough, but it makes a difference.

3) My third goal was to help move this country into the ranks of civilized nations by making it possible for almost every American to receive quality health care without begging. For years I despaired of ever getting that done. But last month, I had the great privilege of presiding over the House of Representatives as it finally completed action on historic health insurance reform legislation.

Over the past few years, whenever a member of the press asked if I was contemplating retirement, I would respond by saying that I did not want to leave Congress until we had passed health care reform. Well, now it has. And I can leave with the knowledge that thanks to Speaker Pelosi and President Obama and so many others, we got the job done. I haven’t done all the big things that I wanted to do when I started out, but I’ve done all the big things I’m likely to do.

Frankly, I had considered retiring after the 2000 election, but I became so angered by the policies of the Bush administration that I decided to stick around as long as he was here. In 2002, after a year-long reapportionment struggle, which devoured my time and the time of my colleague Jim Sensenbrenner, I publicly stated I would not be around for another one. That is exactly what I would face if I returned to Congress next year. I simply don’t want to do it.

Many years ago, in an interview with Richard Cohen, I told him that the way I looked at public service, I believe the job of a good politician was to be used up fighting on behalf of causes you believed in, and when you are used up, to step aside and let someone else carry on the battle. Well, today I feel used up.

In the last months, two colleagues, Charlie Wilson and Jack Murtha, have died. Both were 76. For me, that is only four years away. At the end of this term I will have served in the House longer than all but 18 of the 10,637 men and women who have ever served there. The wear and tear is beginning to take its toll. Given that fact, I have to ask myself how I want to spend the time I have left. Frankly, I do not know what I will do next. All I do know is that there has to be more to life than explaining the ridiculous, accountability destroying rules of the Senate to confused, angry, and frustrated constituents.

I absolutely believe that, after the economy returns to a decent level of growth, we must attack our long-term budget deficit. But, perhaps I expect too much because, in addition to an attack on the federal budget deficit, I also want to see an equal determination to attack the family security deficit, the family income deficit, and the opportunity deficit which also plague the American people.

I am, frankly, weary of having to beg on a daily basis that both parties recognize that we do no favor for the country if we neglect to make the long-term investments in education, science, health, and energy that are necessary to modernize our economy and decline to raise the revenue needed to pay for those crucial investments. I do not want to be in a position as Chairman of the Appropriations Committee of producing and defending lowest common denominator legislation that is inadequate to that task and, given the mood of the country, that is what I would have to do if I stayed.

I am also increasingly weary of having to deal with a press which has become increasingly focused on trivia, driven at least in part by the financial collapse of the news industry and the need, with the 24-hour news cycle, to fill the air waves with hot air. I say that regretfully because I regard what is happening to the news profession as nothing short of a national catastrophe which I know pains many quality journalists as much as it pains me. Both our professions have been coarsened in recent years and the nation is the loser for it.

Let me close by thanking some people.

First, let me thank my wife, Joan, who has put up with so much and endured so much so that I might follow my dream of public service. When she agreed to marry me, she thought she was getting a college teacher. Instead, she got stuck with the “charms” of political life. Whatever good I’ve done, I could not have done without her.

Let me also thank my two sons, Craig and Douglas, who have also shared in the burden of public service. Craig has spent his adult life trying to bring health care to people who needed it, trying to protect workers in the work place, and trying to protect our precious public lands from abuse by special interests and their mouthpieces in government. Doug has spent his life as a working journalist, first covering Capitol Hill, and then informing his readers about the realities of the politics of environmental protection and the interaction between science and politics on the profoundly important issue of global climate change.

Let me thank all those who have worked with me as staff through the years – those who have worked in my district offices in Wisconsin, in my personal office in Washington, my Joint Economic Committee staff, and my Appropriations Committee staff. Your ability, your decency, and your fierce loyalty to me are gratefully appreciated. You have been not just my counselors, but my protectors, and my understanding friends.

Let me thank those special friends who have helped me get through 25 elections and everything that has happened in between. You know who you are. By giving me your political and emotional support, you have sustained me through the pressures and the ups and downs of political and public life. I will not forget. I hope you feel that your support helped to make possible whatever good I have done through the years.

Let me thank Bob Huber, Frank Nikolay, Dick Bolling, and Gaylord Nelson for teaching me how to be a legislator – in Madison and in Wisconsin. And let me express a special thanks to Speaker Nancy Pelosi whose heart, guts, and soul have provided the steel necessary to accomplish some extraordinary things.

Let me also thank so many of my Congressional colleagues, past and present, who have worked shoulder to shoulder with me in pursuit of so many causes – some won, some lost, and who have on occasion forgiven me for my excessive passion. It has been said that in life our strength can also be our weakness as I have demonstrated on more than one occasion.

And let me profoundly thank everyone who has ever cast a vote for me for the privilege of representing you in Madison and Washington all these years.

I hope that in whatever years I may have remaining, I will still find occasion to help move the needle forward. But for now, after 48 years, it is time to pass the torch.

Software Design that is Bad Stupid Bordering on Criminal

OK, my wife has a domain for her special education business, SEDRA, and it comes with email.

Yesterday evening, we started getting timeouts when trying to send mail. Receiving worked just fine.

We finally discovered that the registrar and host, HostMonster, had changed the configuration to prevent virus infected machines from spamming. They changed the port used from 25 to 26.

OK, no big deal, it took me 5 minutes talking with tech support to figure that one out.

Unfortunately, there appeared to be no way to change the port number in Eudora®.

So I used Microsoft Mail to change the port, and I could post from that, but not from Eudora®, because it was not available in the options.

Well, I thought that this was stupid, how can you not be able to change the SMTP port in an email program?

Obviously, we could go to a new client, but that would mean hand holding Sharon* through learning a new email client, something that I view with no small amount of dread. I hate being the family call to Bangalore.

So, I Google, figuring that there is probably a setting in the .ini file that I can tweak

What do I find? I find this:

Eudora for Windows

Eudora has chosen to hide the Port change option in version 6.0 and up, making it more difficult to make this change. If you have purchased Eudora, we would suggest contacting them about making this option available by default again. To enable changing ports:

  1. Navigate to your Eudora install directory.
  2. Look in the Eudora directory for the directory “extrastuff”.
  3. In this directory is a file named “esoteric.epi”. Drag (copy or move) this file into the main Eudora directory. There will now be options extra listed, including a Ports page.

[they neglect to mention that you have to restart Eudora here if it is already open]

To change the outgoing mail port from 25 to 26:

  1. Launch Eudora
  2. Drop down the Tools menu, and choose Options
  3. Click on Ports
  4. Change the port from 25 to 26
  5. Click OK
  6. Restart Eudora

So, they had scrupulously hidden these options, and required you to manually move a file in order to be able to access these options.

Not only that, this was not an oversight, it was a deliberate decision to change the program so that you had to do this, and they made this decision when ISPs are increasingly moving away from ports 110 (incoming) and 25 (outgoing) so as to deal with botnets.

I can understand putting this under “advanced”, and popping up a warning, as Firefox does with “about:config”, or perhaps requiring someone to set “advanced menu mode.” or somesuch but deliberately burying the features and requiring that someone track down this obscure fix which involves moving an extensions file to the home directory of the account is stupid.

Actually, it’s more than stupid, it’s stoopid, really, really, really stoopid.

This is a level of deliberately stoopid that makes Sarah Palin look like Albert Einstein.

In any case, I found the fix, and I implemented it, and it works, but it took about 6 hours more than it should have.

*Love of my life, light of the cosmos, she who must be obeyed, my wife.