Yep, the numbers for Credit Default Swaps are far higher than I had previously noted. It’s $62.2 Trillion, up from $34.5 trillion a year ago, and up from my earlier number of $45 trillion.
By way of reference, world GDP is listed at $65.82 Trillion.
So we have something near the entire economic capacity of the Earth in complex instruments which may be worth nothing, and no one really knows what they are worth.
Paul Calello, head of investment banking at Credit Suisse, will tell the Isda meeting that the banking sector must accept that regulators will become more involved in the CDS market and other areas of derivatives in the future.
In particular, bankers and other financiers must now work with regulators to make the infrastructure more robust, since the crisis has exposed some serious potential weaknesses.
“There will be new regulation and there should be; voluntary efforts are not enough,” Mr Callelo will say. “We cannot expect ‘business as usual’.”
But Alan “Bubbles” Greenspan said that, “The use of a growing array of derivatives and the related application of more sophisticated methods for measuring and managing risk are key factors underpinning the enhanced resilience of our largest financial intermediaries.”
And as we all know Alan “Bubbles” Greenspan, acolyte of Ayn Rand, and poster child for sex without partners, is never wrong.*
*I know cheap shot, fish in a barrel. But I’m a cheap shot, fish in a barrel kind of guy.